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What’s Ahead For Mortgage Rates This Week – December 19, 2202

December 19, 2022 by Regine Lane

What's Ahead For Mortgage Rates This Week - December 19, 2202Last week’s economic reporting included readings on inflation, retail sales, and the Federal Reserve’s Federal Open Market Committee meeting.  Fed Chair Jerome  Powell held his scheduled post-meeting press conference and weekly readings on mortgage rates and jobless claims were also released.

Federal Reserve Raises Target Interest Rate Range

The Federal Reserve’s Federal Open Market Committee announced its decision to raise the Fed’s target interest rate range to 4.25 to 4.50 percent from its previous range of 3.75 to 4.00 percent.

Fed Chair Jerome Powell said in remarks made during his scheduled press conference, “We’re going into next year with higher inflation than we thought.” Seven Fed officials predicted rising interest rates with the Fed’s interest rate range potentially reaching 5.75 percent. Analysts said that the Fed’s position of controlling inflation at any cost could result in a recession. Chair Powell said it was impossible to predict if a recession would occur and how deep it might go and how long it could last. He repeated the Fed’s commitment to controlling high inflation.

Mortgage Rates, Jobless Claims  Fall

Freddie Mac reported lower fixed mortgage rates last week as the average rate for 30-year fixed-rate mortgages dropped by two basis points to 6.31 percent. The average rate for 15-year fixed-rate mortgages dropped by 13 basis points to 5.54 percent.

Initial jobless claims fell to 211,000 first-time claims filed as compared to the prior week’s reading of 231,000 new jobless claims filed. Continuing jobless claims were reported as unchanged from the prior week with 167,000 ongoing unemployment claims filed.

The Commerce Department reported lower retail sales in November than in October. Retail sales decreased by -0.6 percent in November, which surpassed analysts’ estimates of -0.3 percent. Lower retail sales could suggest an impending recession as consumers hold back on paying rapidly rising prices for non-essential goods and services.

What’s Ahead

This week’s scheduled economic reporting includes readings from the National Association of Home Builders on U.S. housing markets and Commerce Department data on building permits issued and housing starts. Reports on sales of new and previously-owned homes and weekly readings on mortgage rates and jobless claims will also be released.

Filed Under: Financial Reports Tagged With: Interest Rates, Jobless Claims, Mortgage Rates

What’s Ahead For Mortgage Rates This Week – December 5, 2022

December 5, 2022 by Regine Lane

What's Ahead For Mortgage Rates This Week - December 5, 2022Last week’s economic news included readings on home prices, inflation, and data on public and private-sector jobs. Weekly readings on mortgage rates and jobless claims were also released.

S&P Case-Shiller Posts Lower Home Prices in September

September home prices fell in all cities tracked by Case-Shiller’s 20-City Home Price Index. Home prices were – 8.7 percent lower year-over-year in September than August’s reading of -10.40 percent. Home price declines showed signs of increasing after a period of rapidly rising home prices sidelined would-be home buyers.

The Federal Housing Finance Agency Home Price Index rose by 0.90 percent in September as compared to home price depreciation of -7.50 percent posted in August. Home prices rose in all 50 states and the District of Columbia between Q3 2021 and Q3 2022. States with the highest year-over-year home price growth were Florida with 22.7 percent home price growth, South Carolina with 18.4 percent home price growth, and Tennessee, where home prices rose by 17.9 percent growth. North Carolina experienced 17.4  percent growth in home prices and Georgia completed the top 5 states with the highest home price growth with 16.7 percent home price growth.

Home prices decreased in two metro areas in California; the San Francisco-San Mateo-Redwood City metro area posted a -4.3 percent decrease in home prices and the Oakland-Berkeley-Livermore metro area where home prices decreased by -0.60 percent.

Mortgage Rates, Jobless Claims

Freddie Mac reported lower mortgage rates last week as the average rate for 30-year fixed-rate mortgages decreased by nine basis points to 6.49 percent. The average rate for 15-year fixed-rate mortgages fell by 14 basis points to 5.76 percent.

225,000 new jobless claims were filed last week as compared to an expected reading of 235,000 first-time claims filed and the previous week’s reading of 241,000 new jobless claims filed. 1.61 million continuing jobless claims were filed last week as compared to 1.55 million ongoing claims filed in the previous week.

The federal government’s Non-Farm Payrolls report for November showed 263,000 public and private-sector jobs added in November; analysts expected 200,000 jobs added based on October’s reading of 284,000 jobs added. ADP reported 127,000 private-sector jobs added in November as compared to analysts’ expectations of 190,000 private–sector jobs added and September’s reading of  239,000 private-sector jobs added. The national unemployment rate was unchanged from the previous week at 3.7 percent.

What’s Ahead

This week’s scheduled economic reports include readings from the University of Michigan on consumer sentiment and consumer expectations for inflation in the next five years. Weekly readings on mortgage rates and jobless claims will also be published.

Filed Under: Financial Reports Tagged With: Financial Report, Jobless Claims, Mortgage Rates

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