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What’s Ahead For Mortgage Rates This Week – May 8, 2023

May 8, 2023 by Regine Lane

What's Ahead For Mortgage Rates This Week - May 8, 2023Last week’s economic news included reporting on construction spending, the Federal Reserve’s decision to raise its benchmark interest rate, and weekly readings on mortgage rates and jobless claims.

Construction Spending Increases in March

The Commerce Department reported that month-to-month construction spending rose by 0.30 percent and year-over-year construction spending increased by $1.83 trillion. Residential construction fell by -0.20 percent in March, which was the tenth consecutive monthly decline in residential construction spending. Non-residential construction spending rose by 0.70 percent in March for the ninth gain in the past 10 months.

Fed Raises Key Interest Rate Range

Federal Reserve policymakers raised the Fed’s key interest rate range by a quarter point to 5.00-5.25 percent at its Federal Open Market Committee meeting held on Tuesday and Wednesday. This was the tenth consecutive rate hike as the Fed continues efforts to control inflation.

Analysts noticed a subtle change in the tone of the Fed’s post-meeting statement and suggested that the less aggressive tone used in the post-meeting statement signaled a softer approach to raising the Fed’s benchmark rate. While some Fed policymakers recently suggested the possibility of a recession, Fed Chair Jerome Powell disagreed: “This is not my own most likely case.” Chair Powell also said that he expected economic growth in 2023 but at a slower pace.

Mortgage Rates Mixed, Jobless Claims Rise

Freddie Mac reported mixed movement of mortgage rates last week as the average rate for 30-year fixed-rate mortgages fell by four basis points to 6.39 percent. The average rate for 15-year fixed-rate mortgages rose by five basis points to 5.76  percent.

Initial jobless claims rose to 242,000 claims filed last week as compared to the prior week’s reading of  229,000 first-time claims filed. Continuing jobless claims fell with 1.81 million claims filed as compared to the prior week’s reading of 1.84 million claims filed.

What’s Ahead

This week’s scheduled economic news includes readings include readings on inflation and consumer sentiment. Weekly readings on mortgage rates and jobless claims will also be published.

Filed Under: Financial Reports Tagged With: Case-Shiller, Financial Report, Mortgage Rates

What’s Ahead For Mortgage Rates This Week – May 1, 2023

May 1, 2023 by Regine Lane

What's Ahead For Mortgage Rates This Week - May 1, 2023Last week’s economic reporting included readings on home prices, sales of new homes, and pending home sales. Monthly and year-over-year readings for inflation were published along with weekly reports on mortgage rates and jobless claims.

February S&P Case-Shiller Housing Market Indices show slower home price growth

National home prices continued to rise in February, but at a slower pace according to S&P Case-Shiller home price indices. Month-to-month home prices rose by  0.40 percent in February and matched analysts’ expectations, but were lower than January’s reading of  2.50 percent home price growth.

S&P Case-Shiller’s 20-city home price index, which is frequently used by real estate professionals for tracking housing markets, rose by 0.10 percent month-to-month in February.  This was the first time home prices rose in eight months.

The Federal Housing Finance Agency, which oversees Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, reported an increase of  0.50 percent in home prices for homes owned and sold by Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac.Properties owned and sold by Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac are subject to loan limits and underwriting rules used by the two agencies.

In related news, the National Association of  Realtors® reported pending home sales fell by -5.20 percent in March compared to the expected reading of 0.50 percent growth and February’s reading of 0.80 percent in pending sales.

Mortgage Rates Mixed, Jobless Claims Fall

Freddie Mac reported mixed movement on mortgage rates as the average rate for 30-year fixed-rate mortgages rose by four basis points to 6.43 percent. Rates for 15-year fixed-rate mortgages fell by five basis points and averaged 5.71 percent.

Initial jobless claims fell to 230,000 claims compared to the expected reading of 246,000 claims and the previous week’s reading of 245,000 claims. Continuing jobless claims fell to 1.86 million filings from the prior week’s reading of 1.87 million ongoing claims.

The University of Michigan reported no change in consumer responses to its consumer sentiment survey for April. The index reading of 63.5 for March was unchanged in April and also matched analysts’ forecasts.

What’s Ahead

This week’s scheduled economic reporting includes readings on construction spending, the Federal Open Market Committee’s scheduled statement, and Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s post-meeting press conference. Readings on public and private-sector employment and national unemployment are also scheduled for release.

Filed Under: Financial Reports Tagged With: Financial Report, Interest Rates, Jobless Claims

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