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What’s Ahead For Mortgage Rates This Week – July 10, 2023

July 10, 2023 by Regine Lane

What's Ahead For Mortgage Rates This Week - July 10, 2023Last week’s scheduled economic reporting included readings on construction spending, June’s FOMC meeting minutes, and reports on jobs and the national unemployment rate. Weekly readings on mortgage rates and jobless claims were also released.

Construction Spending Increased in May

The Commerce Department reported spending for construction rose to 0.90 percent in May as compared to a month-to-month increase of 0.40 percent posted in April. The year-over-year reading showed $1.93 trillion in construction spending in May. April’s data was revised downward from the original reading of 1.20 percent growth to 0.40 percent growth in construction spending.

Readings for construction spending include all phases of government and private construction projects. When construction spending increases. It indicates overall growth in the economy. Year-over-year construction spending was 2.40 percent higher in May.

Private-Sector Job Growth Exceeds Expectations in June

The Commerce  Department reported the largest increase in private-sector job growth since July 2022. 497,000 jobs were added in June 2023, which surpassed analyst expectations of 220,000 jobs added. 267,000 jobs were reported in May’s reading. The increase in available jobs countered forecasts that the Federal Reserve’s recent series of interest rate hikes would slow inflation and dampen economic growth.

The national unemployment rate fell from 3.60 percent from 3.70 percent in May to 3.60 percent in June. In related news, weekly jobless claims rose to 248,000 claims from the previous week’s reading of 236,000 jobless claims filed. Analysts expected a reading of 220,000 claims filed.

Minutes of Federal Reserve Meeting: Fed Holds Federal Rate Range Steady in June

Members of the Federal Reserve’s Federal Open Market Committee voted to hold the Fed’s interest rate range at 5.00 percent to 5.25 percent. Committee members cited the tight labor market and current economic conditions that exceeded expectations. Fed Chair Jerome Powell said that the Fed would likely raise its rate range two more times during 2023. 

Freddie Mac reported higher average mortgage rates last week’s the rate for 30-year fixed-rate mortgages rose by 10 basis points to 6.81 percent. Rates for 15-year fixed-rate mortgages averaged 6.24 percent and 18 basis points higher.

What’s Ahead

This week’s scheduled economic reports include month-to-month and year-over-year readings on consumer inflation; the final monthly reading on consumer sentiment will be released along with weekly readings on mortgage rates and jobless claims.

 

Filed Under: Financial Reports Tagged With: Financial Report, Jobless Claims, Mortgage Rates

What’s Ahead For Mortgage Rates This Week – Juy 3, 2023

July 3, 2023 by Regine Lane

What's Ahead For Mortgage Rates This Week - Juy 3, 2023Last week’s scheduled economic news includes readings on inflation, new home sales, pending home sales, and consumer sentiment. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell spoke at a banking conference in Spain. Weekly reports on mortgage rates and jobless claims were also released.

New Home Sales Rise as Pending Home Sales Fall

May readings for new and pending home sales showed mixed results for May. 763,000 new home sales were expected on a seasonally-adjusted annual basis. Analysts expected a reading of 675,000 sales based on April’s year-over-year reading of 680,000 new home sales. May’s increase in new home sales was the largest since  February 2022.

New home sales increased for the third consecutive month. The supply of new homes for sale fell 11.80 percent between April and May to a 7-month supply of new homes available. Sales were strongest in the Northeast and West.

Pending home sales fell by -2.70 percent in May.

Mortgage Rates, Jobless Claims

Freddie Mac reported higher average mortgage rates last week. The average rate for 30-year fixed-rate mortgages rose by four basis points to 6.71 percent; the average rate for 15-year fixed-rate mortgages rose by three basis points to 6.06 percent.

Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell spoke at a banking conference in Spain. He discussed the U.S. economy and how the Fed addressed the financial downturn after the Great Recession and discussed current economic trends including the impact of higher mortgage rates on the housing sector and low unemployment.

Chair Powell also outlined the Fed’s goal of reducing inflation to 2.00 percent a year; it presently runs near 4.00 percent. Mr. Powell cited headwinds to lowering inflation including tighter credit requirements for individuals and businesses. Mr. Powell cautioned that further tightening may result from bank stresses that occurred in March.

June’s consumer sentiment index reading was nearly unchanged with an index reading of 64 for June as compared to May’s reading of 63.99. Index readings over 50 indicate that most consumers are confident about current economic conditions.

What’s Ahead

This week’s scheduled economic reports include readings on construction spending, public and private sector employment, and minutes of June’s Federal Open Market Committee meeting. Weekly reports on mortgage rates and jobless claims will also be released. 

Filed Under: Financial Reports Tagged With: Case-Shiller, Jobless Claims, Mortgage Rates

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